Emerging markers of cancer cachexia and their relationship to sarcopenia.

PURPOSE: Emerging biomarkers of cancer cachexia and their roles in sarcopenia and prognosis are poorly understood. Baseline assessments of anthropometrics, sarcopenia, cachexia status and biomarkers of cachexia were measured in patients with advanced cancer and healthy controls. Thereafter, relationships of the biomarkers with cachexia and sarcopenia were explored. METHODS: A prospective case-control design was used, including 40 patients with advanced cancer and 40 gender, age-matched controls. Bioelectrical impedance [skeletal muscle index (SMI)] and hand dynamometry [hand grip strength (HGS)] assessed sarcopenia and a validated tool classified cancer cachexia. Albumin, lymphocyte and platelet counts, haemoglobin, C-reactive protein (CRP), pro-inflammatory cytokines/chemokines and citrullinated histone H3 (H3Cit) were measured. RESULTS: Patients had significantly lower SMI (6.67 kg/m2 versus 7.67 kg/m2, p = < 0.01) and HGS (24.42 kg versus 29.62 kg) compared to controls, with 43% being sarcopenic. Significant differences were found for albumin, lymphocyte and platelet counts, haemoglobin, CRP, and tumour necrosis factor α (TNFα), (p < 0.01). Interleukin (IL)-6 (p < 0.04), IL-8 (p = 0.02), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), p = 0.02, platelet/lymphocyte (PLR) ratio, p < 0.01 and systemic immune inflammatory index (SII), p < 0.01 differed significantly. No difference was observed for CXC motif chemokine ligand 5 [CXCL5 or epithelial neutrophil-activating peptide 78 (ENA78)] or H3Cit. Albumin and haemoglobin correlated negatively with total protein, skeletal muscle mass and SMI (all p < 0.01). The presence of sarcopenia associated significantly with albumin, haemoglobin and CRP. CONCLUSION: Significant relationships and differences of haemoglobin, CRP and albumin supports future use of these biomarkers in cancer cachexia. CXCL5 and H3Cit as valuable biomarkers in cancer cachexia remains to be defined.

The tragedy of smoking, alcohol, and multiple substance use during pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: Antenatal substance use is a significant public health concern in South Africa (SA). Information on smoking, drinking and drug use during pregnancy was collected prospectively for the Safe Passage Study of the PASS (Prenatal Alcohol in Sudden infant death syndrome and Stillbirth) Network. OBJECTIVES: Data from 4 926 pregnant women in a community near Tygerberg Academic Hospital, Cape Town, were examined to determine whether associations between different substance use groups and postnatal infant outcomes at birth and 1 year were significant. METHODS: Gestational age (GA) was determined by earliest ultrasound. Maternal data were collected at enrolment or first antenatal visit. Substance use data were obtained at up to four occasions. Birthweight data were derived from medical records, and birthweight z-scores (BWZs) were specifically calculated using INTERGROWTH-21st study data. Statistical analyses were done with Statistica version 13.  Results. Women who used more substances enrolled later, were younger, and had smaller mid-upper arm circumferences (MUACs), less education and lower monthly income than women who used no substances (control group). Infants born to women who used more substances had lower GA at delivery, birthweight and BWZ than infants from the control group. At 1 year, infants born to women who used more substances had a lower weight, shorter length and smaller head circumference. Education was positively associated with all infant outcomes at birth and 1 year. MUAC was positively associated with infant BWZ, and weight and length at 1 year. Income was negatively associated with BWZ, but positively associated with all 1-year outcomes. CONCLUSION: Substance use during pregnancy affects infant outcomes at birth and 1 year of age. The addictive properties of substance use make cessation difficult, so prevention strategies should be implemented long before pregnancy. Higher maternal education, associated with better infant outcomes at birth and 1 year and acting as a countermeasure to substance use, is of paramount importance.

Clinical associations of fetal heart rate accelerations as derived from transabdominal fetal electrocardiograms.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the value of quantifying accelerations of the fetal heart rate (FHR), as collected non-invasively during pregnancy, as a proxy for fetal movements. STUDY DESIGN: The study consists of a prospective collection of research material with retrospective analyses of the collected fetal electrocardiograms (ECGs), done in a homogeneous population in a low socioeconomic residential area of Cape Town, South Africa, as part of the Safe Passage Study. Recruitment and follow-up were done from August 2007 to August 2016. Maternal and fetal ECGs were collected non-invasively at various gestational ages, for approximately 30-60 min at a time in 4418 pregnant women. After processing of the signal, the number and duration of accelerations and the area under the acceleration curve of the FHR were calculated and compared with the pulsatility index (PI) of the uterine, umbilical, and middle cerebral arteries, common medical conditions, tobacco, alcohol, marijuana, and methamphetamine use and z-scores of the birthweight (BWZS). RESULTS: Of the total, 2777, 691, and 3879 women were at gestational ages of 20-24, 28-32 and 34-38 weeks respectively. At 20-24 weeks duration of accelerations was significantly longer in women who used marijuana (p = 0.014) or methamphetamine (p < 0.001) when compared to nonusers. At 28-32 weeks the duration of accelerations was significantly shorter in hypertensive women (p = 0.003) and significantly longer in women who used methamphetamine (p = 0.015). At 34-38 weeks the number of accelerations were significantly less in women who had hypertension ((p = 0.01) or stillbirths (p = 0.028) and the duration significantly shorter in hypertensive women (p = 0.007) and significantly longer in women who used marjuana (p = 0.003) or methamphetamine (p = 0.028). The acceleration area was significantly smaller (p = 0.02) in women who has stillbirths. Duration of accelerations was significantly longer in users of nicotine and alcohol when compared with that of abstainers. Birthweight z-score correlated significantly with number of accelerations (p < 0.01) and the acceleration area (<0.01). There was a significant negative correlation between the number of accelerations (p < 0.01) and acceleration area (p < 0.01) and the PI of the uterine artery at 34-38 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Calculation of the acceleration parameters of the FHR during pregnancy may provide useful information for evaluating fetal development.

Association between Increased Uterine Activity, as Recorded Noninvasively from the Anterior Abdominal Wall at 34 Weeks' Gestation, and Preterm Birth.

Background: There is a need to accurately identify pregnant women at risk for preterm birth as early as possible. Recent developments in technology enable the recording of uterine electrical activity (electrohysterogram) from the anterior abdominal wall in a non-invasive way. Objective: To investigate whether uterine activity recorded under resting conditions at a gestational age of 34 weeks could identify a risk of preterm birth. Study design: A commercial antenatal holter device with its dedicated software was used to record and store raw data of the maternal and fetal electrocardiograms and uterine activity for the Safe Passage Study. Uterine activity was recorded under resting conditions from 34 weeks' gestation in epochs of 250 ms (millisecond) for at least 30 min. From this database the raw data, recorded at a mean gestational age of 34 weeks, of 50 women who had preterm deliveries were selected for comparison with data of women who had term deliveries. Mean uterine activity, expressed in microvolt (µV)/epoch, was used for the comparison. Results: After exclusion of 25 participants where labour was induced or augmented and another three for other reasons, 36 remained in each group. The participants in each group were comparable in respect of maternal age, gravidity, parity, gestational age at recruitment and duration of recording. Uterine activity in the preterm group (60.3 µV/epoch) differed significantly (p<0.01) from that of the comparison group (52.4 µV/epoch). Using a cut-off point of 52.3 µV/epoch as obtained from receiver operator characteristic curves (area under the curve 0.72), the sensitivity and specificity of identifying risks of preterm labour were 81% and 50% respectively. Conclusion: Results of this small study are promising but need to be confirmed in larger studies and preferably at earlier gestational age.

The Association between Maternal Depression, Infant Characteristics and Need for Assistance in A Low-Income-Country.

Background: Depression in the peripartum period is prevalent in low-income-countries. The identification of women needing referral is often lacking and on the other hand, women in need of support and treatment do not make use of existing support. Objectives: To identify risk factors for fetal and postnatal consequences of depression in pregnancy and to investigate further management once women at risk have been identified. Methods: The Safe Passage Study was a large prospective multicenter international study. Extensive information, including the Edinburgh postnatal depression scale (EPDS), was collected during the study. At risk women were referred to the study's social worker (SW). Women were categorized according to risk on their EPDS results. Risk categories were characterized and investigated for infant outcomes. Results: Data from 5,489 women were available for analysis and revealed a 51% prevalence of prenatal depression. Fourteen percent of at-risk women attended SW appointments, while 36% accepted the SW referral but persistently failed to attend. At risk women were significantly younger, had less formal education, had lower monthly income, and lived in more crowded conditions. They used significantly more alcohol and cigarettes. Their infants had shorter gestational ages, lower birth weights and were more growth restricted. Infants of depressed women who missed appointments weighed less and were more growth restricted. Conclusion: Women with high EPDSs had less favorable socioeconomic conditions, used more alcohol or tobacco during pregnancy, and their infants weighed less with more growth restriction. Women who repeatedly missed their appointments came from the poorest socioeconomic conditions and their infants had worse birth outcomes.

In utero teratogen exposure and cardiometabolic risk in 5-year-old children: a prospective pediatric study.

BACKGROUND: Aorta and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) is a measure of subclinical atherosclerosis and useful to assess cardiometabolic risk in the young. The in utero milieu may involve cardiometabolic programing and the development of cardiometabolic risk factors in children. Maternal smoking, alcohol consumption, and micronutrient deficiencies during pregnancy influence the development of the cardiovascular system through a process of DNA methylation. AIM: To explore an association between maternal smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy and intima media thickness in 5-year-old children for a low-income setting. METHODS: Data were collected from 500 mother-child pairs at antenatal clinic visit, at birth, and at age 5 years. Anthropometric measurements were collected at birth and again at age 5 years. As well as clinical and ultrasound measurements at age 5 years. Clinical measurements, at age 5 years, included blood pressure, mean arterial pressure, and heart rate. Ultrasound measurements of the aorta and carotid arteries IMT were performed at age 5 years. Main outcome of interest was effect of dual teratogen exposure on the ultrasound measures IMT as indication of cardiometabolic risk. RESULTS: cIMT was significantly higher in children exposed to both alcohol and nicotine during pregnancy compared to those not exposed (p = .008). In separate linear models, dual in utero exposure (beta = 0.12; p = .01) and male sex (beta = 0.14; p = .01) were associated with higher right cIMT values (F(6,445) = 5.20; R2 = 0.07, p < .01); male sex (beta = 0.13; p = .01) and low birth weight (beta = 0.07; p = .01) with higher left cIMT value (F(4,491) = 4.49; R2 = 0.04; p = .01); and males sex (beta = 0.11; p = .02) with higher aorta IMT (F(6,459) = 5.63; R2 = 0.07; p < .01). Significant positive correlations between maternal measures of adiposity, maternal MUAC (r = 0.10; p = .03), and maternal BMI (r = 0.12; p < .01) and right cIMT measurements adjusted for the BMI of the child at age 5 years as covariate. Blood pressure measurements at age 5 years were not significantly associated with IMT but, instead, correlated significantly and positively with the BMI of the child at age 5 years (p < .01). CONCLUSION: Children exposed to both maternal smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy presented with cardiometabolic risk factors 5 years after birth. In addition, maternal adiposity, male sex, and low birth weight were associated with higher IMT at age 5 years.

The effects of in utero exposure to teratogens on organ size: a prospective paediatric study.

In low-income countries, prospective data on combined effects of in utero teratogen exposure are lacking and necessitates new research. The aim of the present study was to explore the effect of in utero teratogen exposure on the size of the kidneys and pancreas 5 years after birth in a low-income paediatric population. Data was collected from 500 mother-child pairs from a low-income setting. Anthropometric measurements included body weight, (BW) body height, mid-upper arm and waist circumference (WC). Clinical measurements included blood pressure (BP), mean arterial pressure and heart rate. Ultrasound measurements included pancreas, and kidney measurements at age 5 years. The main outcome of interest was the effect of maternal smoking and alcohol consumption on ultrasound measurements of organ size at age 5 years. Left and right kidney length measurements were significantly lower in smoking exposed children compared to controls (p = 0.04 and p = 0.03). Pancreas body measurements were significantly lower in smoking exposed children (p = 0.04). Multiple regression analyses were used to examine the associations between the independent variables (IDVs), maternal age, body mass index (BMI), mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) and BW of the child, on the dependent variables (DVs) kidney lengths and kidney volumes. Also, the association between in utero exposure to alcohol and nicotine and pancreas size. WC was strongest (r = 0.28; p < 0.01) associated with pancreas head [F (4, 454) = 13.44; R2 = 0.11; p < 0.01] and tail (r = 0.30; p < 0.01) measurements at age 5 years, with in utero exposure, sex of the child and BMI as covariates. Kidney length and pancreas body measurements are affected by in utero exposure to nicotine at age 5 years and might contribute to cardiometabolic risk in later life. Also, findings from this study report on ultrasound reference values for kidney and pancreas measurements of children at age 5 years from a low-income setting.

Smoking and drinking habits of women in subsequent pregnancies after specific advice about the dangers of these exposures during pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: Although women are informed about the dangers of drinking and smoking during pregnancy when they book for antenatal care, it is uncertain whether this advice is accepted, or whether attempts are made to apply it in subsequent pregnancies. OBJECTIVES: To assess how pregnant women respond to the advice to refrain from smoking and drinking during pregnancy in subsequent pregnancies. METHODS: Research staff were trained to obtain accurate prospective information on smoking and drinking during pregnancy in a prospective study, using well-standardised methods. Care was taken to inform participants about the dangers of smoking and drinking during pregnancy. They were also given pamphlets on these dangers in their own language and a list of telephone numbers where they could find help to quit should they need it. This information was repeated at subsequent study visits (ranging from 1 to 3, depending on the gestational age at which they enrolled). Gestational age was determined by early ultrasound. Z-scores of birthweight for gestational age were determined according to the INTERGROWTH-21st study. Pregnancy outcomes of women who enrolled twice (n=888) or three times (n=77) in the Safe Passage Study were compared with those of women in the first enrolment (n=889). RESULTS: The proportion of drinkers did not change significantly (p=0.058) from the first to the second and third enrolments (63.8%, 59.0% and 54.6%, respectively). A similar trend was found for smokers (73.3%, 72.2% and 68.4%, respectively). Cannabis use was reported by 15.1%, 9.7% and 12.0% (p<0.005) of women, respectively, and use of methamphetamine by 10.1%, 6.6% and 12.7% (p<0.005). There was an increase in the rate of preterm births from 15.5% to 17.5% and 24.7%, respectively, but the increase was not significant. Although mean birthweight was lower in the third enrolment compared with the second, the difference was not significant. The z-score of birthweight for gestational age was significantly lower in the second enrolment compared with the first. CONCLUSIONS: Detailed information on the adverse effects of smoking and drinking during pregnancy was not effective in the population studied. Other methods to reduce or stop these toxic exposures should therefore be investigated. A short inter-pregnancy interval, as demonstrated by three enrolments in 7.5 years, is associated with preterm labour and fetal growth restriction, and is probably indicative of the role played by confounders such as poor socioeconomic conditions and drug exposure during pregnancy.

Four-oil intravenous lipid emulsion effect on plasma fatty acid composition, inflammatory markers and clinical outcomes in acutely ill patients: A randomised control trial (Foil fact).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data in critically ill patients on the effect of intravenous lipid emulsions (LEs), containing omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs), in parenteral nutrition (PN) are scarce and conflicting. This study compared the effects of a four-oil LE (30% soybean oil, 30% medium-chain triglycerides, 25% olive oil and 15% fish oil (FO)) (SMOFlipid®) to those of a 100% soybean oil-based LE in critically ill adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients. METHODS: In this double-blind, randomised study, patients (n = 75) predicted to need PN for more than 5 days were randomised to receive either a four-oil LE (Study Group (SG)) or a 100% soybean oil LE (Control Group (CG)). Isocaloric, isonitrogenous PN was administered continuously for 5 days. FO was provided at a dose of 0.09-0.22 g/kg body weight. Measurements included biochemical parameters and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score daily and plasma total phospholipid fatty acids (FAs) and cytokine levels on days 1, 3, 6. Days on mechanical ventilation, length of stay and mortality were also recorded. ANOVA was used to compare response variables between the two groups over the time and Pearson correlation was used to measure relationships between continuous variables. RESULTS: 68 patients completed the study (n = 35 SG, n = 33 CG), with male predominance (66% SG, 56% CG). Average age was 60.8 ± 13.9 years (SG) versus 55.7 ± 14.8 (CG) (p = 0.143). The majority were surgical admissions (85% SG versus 91% CG) followed by medical. Plasma phospholipid oleic acid (p = 0.022) and alpha-linolenic acid (p<0.0005) increased in both groups. In the SG, plasma phospholipid EPA and DHA increased (both p<0.001), whereas the omega-6:omega-3 PUFA (n-6:n-3 PUFA) ratio decreased (p < 0.001). Aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and bilirubin decreased in both treatment groups. Considering only the change from day 1 to day 6 there was a bigger decrease in AST, ALT and bilirubin levels in the SG. Concentrations of TNF-α decreased from day 1 to day 6 in the SG, whereas they increased in the CG, but the change was not statistically significant (p = 0.112). A significant negative correlation was found between EPA provision on day 3 and the SOFA score (r = -0.4047, p = 0.018). Days on mechanical ventilation (1.24 ± 0.83 days in SG versus 0.88 ± 1.63 days in CG, p = 0.385) and ICU LOS (9.5 ± 7.09 days in SG versus 10.7 ± 7.6 days in CG, p = 0.490) were not different between groups. CONCLUSION: PN containing a four-oil LE increased plasma EPA and DHA, decreased n-6:n-3 PUFA ratio, and was safe and well tolerated. The negative relationship between day 3 EPA and SOFA score seems promising, but EPA intake and effects may have been diluted by enteral nutrition which was started in more than half of patients on day 4. There was no significant difference in terms of other biochemical measurements, SOFA score, length of ICU stay and mortality. More research is needed in this patient population, particularly regarding dose, duration and timing of FO and the effects on clinical outcomes.

Determinants of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin d levels in healthy young adults living in the Western Cape, South Africa

Background: Vitamin D deficiency is fast emerging as a global pandemic. In South Africa few studies have been conducted to determine the vitamin D status of the healthy population.Methods: This prospective study with an analytical component investigated vitamin D status of healthy undergraduate students at two time points (winter and summer) at Stellenbosch University. Serum 25(OH)D was determined, anthropometric measurements taken and dietary vitamin D intake estimated (food-frequency questionnaire). Skin tone was determined (Fitzpatrick skin type classification), and a skin reflectometry device used to measure dermal melanin content.Results: Results of 242 students indicated a mean serum 25(OH)D of 63.80 ± 41.35 ng/ml and a high prevalence of vitamin D sufficiency (88%). Significantly more females experienced suboptimal vitamin D levels than males (18 vs. 5%; p < 0.01). Participants with lighter skin tones had higher levels of 25(OH)D than those with darker skin tones (chi-square = 24.02; p = 0.02). The majority (60.74%) had a normal BMI, although there was no significant relationship between BMI and serum 25 (OH)D (Spearman's r=­0.11; p = 0.09). Total mean dietary vitamin D intake was 7.99 ± 13.81 mcg, with 87.2% having inadequate intake (< 15 mcg). The relationship between total vitamin D intake and serum 25(OH)D was found to be significant in winter (p < 0.001) and summer (p = 0.01). Serum vitamin D levels were significantly higher in the winter phase (p < 0.001).Conclusions: A low prevalence of vitamin D deficiency was found amongst healthy young adults, despite low dietary vitamin D intakes. Significant relationships were found between serum 25(OH)D and gender, skin tone and vitamin D intake. Further studies need to be conducted, especially in high-risk groups, before results are applied to the greater South African public

Effects of alcohol, cigarettes, methamphetamine and marijuana exposure during pregnancy on maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein levels at 20-24 weeks'gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of cigarette, marihuana and methamphetamine smoking and consumption of alcohol during pregnancy on maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) levels at 20-24 weeks. STUDY DESIGN: In the Safe Passage Study (SPS) more than 12,000 pregnant women were prospectively followed up during pregnancy and until the infant was one year old to examine the effects of exposure to alcohol during pregnancy on stillbirth and sudden infant death syndrome. The present study is a cross-sectional secondary analysis of MSAFP analyses done at 20-24 weeks gestation in 1,679 SPS participants, recruited at the Bishop Lavis Community Health Centre, Cape Town, South Arica. RESULTS: Low or moderate alcohol consumption with or without smoking, nor methamphetamine or marihuana use affected mean MSAFP levels. High MSAFP levels were associated with high alcohol consumption, young age, low body mass index (BMI) (<18 kg/m2) or small mid upper arm circumference (MUAC) (<230mm). High MSAFP levels were associated with stillbirth, preterm birth, abruption and a birth weight z-score of less than -1. CONCLUSION: The study confirms the association between high MSAFP levels and adverse pregnancy outcomes but, although exposure to smoking or drinking is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes including stillbirth, MSAFP levels were not affected by any of these exposures except for continued high consumption of alcohol. The observed association between higher MSAFP levels and maternal nutritional status (as demonstrated by the lower MUAC and BMI) could explain some of the correlations of poor socioeconomic conditions with higher stillbirth rates effect.

Cognitive changes in alcohol-induced psychotic disorder.

AIMS: This study aimed to explore the neuro-cognitive deficits of alcohol-induced psychotic disorder as compared to the cognitive deficits of uncomplicated alcohol dependence. METHODS: Participants were recruited from the acute psychiatric admission wards of the Department of Psychiatry, University of Stellenbosch and Stikland and Tygerberg Academic Hospitals in the Western-Cape, South Africa. Participants who met DSM IV TR criteria (American Psychiatric Association. Diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders. American Psychiatric Association, Washington, DC, 2000) for Alcohol Dependence and for alcohol-induced psychotic disorder, respectively, were included. Participants who met criteria for another current DSM IV TR Axis I disorder were excluded. A structured interview was done prior to neuropsychological assessment to ascertain current mental state and to obtain relevant demographic detail and history. Neuropsychological assessments were performed and supervised by clinical psychologists at either Tygerberg or Stikland Hospital. RESULTS: The groups were matched demographically with similar period of abstinence prior to assessment. The alcohol-induced psychotic disorder group experienced first psychotic symptoms at age 35. The results reflected statistically significant differences on tasks measuring immediate memory; recall upon delay; exaggeration of memory difficulty and abstract thinking. CONCLUSION: This study concurs with earlier literature that some cognitive deficits are greater in alcohol-induced psychotic disorder compared to uncomplicated alcohol dependence.

Fetal heart rate patterns at 20 to 24 weeks gestation as recorded by fetal electrocardiography.

INTRODUCTION: With advancing technology it has become possible to accurately record and assess fetal heart rate (FHR) patterns from gestations as early as 20 weeks. The aim of our study was to describe early patterns of FHR, as recorded by transabdominal fetal electrocardiogram according to the Dawes-Redman criteria. Accordingly, short-term variability, basal heart rate, accelerations and decelerations were quantified at 20-24 weeks gestation among women with uncomplicated pregnancies. METHODS: This study was conducted in a subset of participants enrolled in a large prospective pregnancy cohort study. Our final data set consisted of 281 recordings of women with good perinatal outcomes who had undergone fetal electrocardiographic assessment as part of the Safe Passage Study. RESULTS: The success rate of the recordings was 95.4%. The mean frequency of small and large accelerations was 0.5 and 0.1 per 10 min, respectively and that of small and large decelerations 0.3 and 0.008 per 10 min, respectively. The mean and basal heart rates were both equal to 148.0 bpm at a median gestation of 161 days. The mean short term variation was 6.2 (SD 1.4) ms and mean minute range 35.1 (SD 7.1) ms. CONCLUSION: The 20-24-week fetus demonstrates FHR patterns with more accelerations and decelerations, as well as higher baseline variability than was anticipated. Information from this study provides an important foundation for further, more detailed, studies of early FHR patterns.

Predicting mortality and length-of-stay for neonatal admissions to private hospital neonatal intensive care units: a Southern African retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To predict neonatal mortality and length of stay (LOS) from readily available perinatal data for neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admissions in Southern African private hospitals. METHODS: Retrospective observational study using perinatal data from a large multicentre sample. Fifteen participating NICU centres in the Medi-Clinic private hospital group in Southern Africa. We used 2376 infants born between 1 January - 31 December 2008 to build the regression models, and a further 1 578 infants born between 1 January - 31 December 2007 to test the models. Outcome measures were mortality and length of hospital stay for NICU admissions. RESULTS: Of the infants included in the 2008 dataset, ninety-one (3.8%) died after being admitted to NICU centres. The median LOS for non-transferred survivors was 11 days. An analysis of the structural peculiarities of the data showed high correlations between groups of the perinatal variables pertaining to the size and Apgar scores of the newborn infants, respectively. The logistic regression model to predict neonatal mortality had a good fit (AUC: 0.8507, misclassification rate: 13.6%), but the low positive predictive value of this model reduces its usefulness. The poisson log-linear model to predict LOS had a good fit (predicted R(2): 0.7027). CONCLUSIONS: Apgar score at one minute, birth weight, and delivery mode significantly influence the odds of neonatal death and are associated with significant effects on LOS.

Acute renal failure in the medical ICU still predictive of high mortality.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine the outcome and certain predictors of outcome for acute renal failure (ARF) in the medical intensive care unit (ICU) at Tygerberg Hospital. METHOD: We conducted a retrospective, single-centre cohort study over 12 months comprising all patients admitted to the medical ICU with all causes of renal failure or who developed renal failure following admission to the ICU. RESULTS: Of 198 medical patients admitted to the ICU, ARF occurred in 46 (23.2%). The leading cause of ARF was acute tubular necrosis. The ICU mortality for ARF patients was 47.8%, compared with 17.5% in ICU patients without ARF. Acute haemodialysis was performed in only 17.3% of the 46 ARF patients. Using Cox proportional hazard regression, we found that mean duration of stay (p<0.001), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (Apache II) score (p<0.001), mechanical ventilation (p<0.01), dialysis (p<0.04) and multi-organ failure (p<0.05) affected survival time. CONCLUSIONS: We found that ARF is still associated with a high mortality rate and longer duration of stay, higher Apache II score, and need for mechanical ventilation; dialysis and presence of multi-organ failure were indicators of a higher mortality rate.

A comparison of the accuracy of two methods used by pre-doctoral students to measure vertical dimension.

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: Measuring vertical dimension is a soft-tissue measurement. Therefore, inaccuracy may occur. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of the Willis gauge method with the caliper method. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Willis gauge measures the distance between the septum of the nose and the chin. The caliper method measures the distance between reference points on the tip of the nose and the chin. Twenty predoctoral students applied both methods 10 times in measuring the rest vertical dimension (RVD) and the occlusal vertical dimension (OVD) of a single edentulous patient. The measurements obtained from one experienced clinician were selected as controls for the interocclusal distances (IOD) for the Willis and the caliper methods, respectively. One-sided t tests and a 1-sided nonparametric test were used to determine significant differences between the 2 methods (alpha=.05). RESULTS: The variances in the RVD values for the Willis gauge method were higher than for the caliper method for most students. A Wilcoxon signed rank test showed that the accuracy of the OVD measurements for the caliper method was significantly better than for the Willis gauge method (P=.001). This was not the case for the RVD measurements (P=.073). The average IOD for the Willis method was significantly higher than the control IOD (P=.026). The average IOD for the caliper method was not significantly larger than the control (P=.1303). CONCLUSION: This study showed that the use of the caliper method by predoctoral students was a significantly more reliable method of measuring the OVD for the patient evaluated.

Allometric extension.

Constants of allometric growth are commonly estimated by the first eigenvector of the covariance matrix of log measurements. Hills (1982, in Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, 48-54) defines a model of allometric extension for two related species by the conditions that (a) the constants of allometric growth are identical for both species and (b) the vector of mean differences is proportional to the common first eigenvector of both covariance matrices. We give a test for allometric extensionand discuss estimation of the parameters of the allometric extension model, including standard errors.